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Which CrossFit Games Vets Will Thrive in 2025 Season Structure—and Who Won’t? 

The 2025 season is almost underway, and we finally know what it’s going to take to qualify for the 2025 CrossFit Games

Remind Me

Ultimately, there are three paths to earn one of the 30 men’s and women’s invites to this summer’s CrossFit Games in Albany, NY. Here’s how it breaks down.

Path 1: The In-Affiliate Semifinals

  • The top 1% in the CrossFit Open will qualify to the online In-Affiliate Semifinals. From there, it looks as though 12 men and 12 women will qualify for the 2025 Games.

Path 2: In-Person Qualifying Events

  • Eighteen more men and women will have a second opportunity to qualify for the Games via 10 in-person qualifying events around the world. These events have additional online qualifiers or are invitationals.
  • Two men and two women will qualify from eight of the 10 in-person qualifying events, and one man and one woman will advance to the Games from the other two.

Path 3: Last Chance Qualifier

  • Details are scarce at this point, but one man and one woman will earn a ticket via an online “Last Chance Qualifier” from June 13-16. 

In light of all of the above — and if historical performances predict future ones — which veteran Games athletes do we expect this qualification process will bode well for? Conversely, which veterans might struggle under this unprecedented season structure?

Two Things to Consider

On paper, at least, it appears that this season favors two types of athletes:

  1. Those who tend to be rock stars in online competitions.
  2. Those who find a way to win or come second at in-person qualifying events.

On the flip side, the season might be tough for two other types of athletes:

  1. Those who perform better at in-person events than online ones.
  2. Those who consistently do well at in-person qualifiers but can’t break through and finish in the top two. (In other words, the season doesn’t bode well for the consistently quiet qualifiers of years gone by.)

In light of this, here are four men and four women we expect this season to go well for.

Note: Some of the athletes below may ultimately choose not to participate in the 2025 CrossFit Games season.

Men

Jonne Koski

The nine-time Games athlete failed to qualify for the first time since 2018 last season. That said, he became the first man to win both the Open and Quarterfinals.

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Saxon Panchik

Though he’s a six-time Games veteran, we don’t tend to think of Panchik as a shoo-in to qualify. Still, he’s a bit of a silent assassin and has traditionally placed very high in the online portions of the season: the CrossFit Open and Quarterfinals.

Despite this, Panchik hasn’t had as much success at either Quarterfinals or Semifinals over the last two seasons.

Still, he finished 11th at the Games last season, suggesting his fitness is still where it was in previous seasons, and ultimately, he has proven he can be great at online competitions in the past. 

Pat Vellner

Pat Vellner might not be known for his strength in online competitions, but he knows how to place in the top two at in-person qualifying events.

Throw in some Rogue Invitational and Wodapalooza wins through the years, and our money is on Vellner to win an In-Person Qualifying Event if he doesn’t pull through during the In-Affiliate Semifinals.

Jeff Adler

If there’s a front-runner for the top athlete we expect to cruise through the qualification process this season, it’s 2023 Games champion Jeff Adler.

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Adler has always been strong in online competitions, and more recently, he has also dominated in-person Semifinals.

Women

Disclaimer: We’re taking seven-time Games champion Tia-Clair Toomey-Orr and 2023 champion Laura Horvath out of this conversation, as they’re arguably so far ahead of the field that we expect them to qualify regardless of the qualification format. 

Further, we’re assuming last year’s silver medalist, Gabi Migala, won’t recover in time to factor in this year after she tore her Achilles during the 2024 Rogue Invitational.

Alex Gazan

If the last two seasons are any indication, our money is on Alex Gazan to look pretty good under this season’s format.

Danielle Brandon

Veteran Danielle Brandon isn’t necessarily known for her online competition prowess, but she has held her own in the last four years. 

She has never placed outside of the top 14 in the last four years at Quarterfinals, with her best placing being fifth last season.

Emma Tall

Sweden’s Emma Tall is another athlete we think might excel in this year’s qualification format if she chooses to compete. 

Emma Lawson

Other than Toomey-Orr and Horvath, we expect 20-year-old Lawson to be the next-closest thing to a shoo-in this season, as she has proven herself over and over, regardless of the format of the competition.

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Dark Horse Pick: Manon Angonese

Belgium’s Manon Angonese has only competed at the CrossFit Games once in 2023, so we can’t call her a veteran, but she is another athlete we expect to excel this year.

So we expect her to possibly be one of the 12 athletes in the world to qualify out of the In-Affiliate Semifinals this year.

Which Veterans Might Struggle?

The reality is that only 75% of the invites are available this year — 30 rather than 40 — so some very fit athletes we’re accustomed to seeing at the Games are bound to miss out.

In light of this, we think the following veterans we think might not love this season’s format.

Men

James Sprague

He might be the reigning Fittest Man on Earth, but James Sprague has never placed inside the top 30 in past Quarterfinals. He was 44th last season, 31st in 2023, and 174th in 2022.

Sprague is still young and on the rise, though, and his confidence has likely grown since winning the Games last season and following up with his TYR WZA win last week, so we’re certainly not counting him out.

Sam Kwant

The seven-time Games veteran has never placed inside the top 12 in Quarterfinals: 16th, 51st, 13th, and 19th in the last four years, respectively. Although he always seems to find a way to get it done and qualify, he has never placed inside the top two in his four Semifinals.

Jelle Hoste 

Two-time Games veteran Jelle Hoste has shown he’s much better at the CrossFit Games than he is in an online Quarterfinals format. 

It seems Hoste’s best hope to qualify this year might be through one of the in-person Qualifying Events, where he’ll need to be top two. 

Women

Karin Frey

The five-time Games athlete from Slovakia is another who struggles with online competitions.

Despite all that, Frey did crack the top two at Semifinals once in 2022, so maybe she can do it again this year.

Emily Rolfe

The five-time Games athlete has some serious strengths, but online competitions haven’t proven to be one of them.

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Like Sprague, Rolfe is coming off the high and newfound confidence of a podium finish at last year’s Games, and at 35, she still seems to be closing the gap and improving. Like Kwant, she always seems to find a way, so it might be wise not to bet against her. 

Elisa Fuliano

Italy’s Elisa Fuliano has competed at the Games the last three years, but she has always been a mid-pack qualifier through Semifinals, and only once has she had a top 12 performance in Quarterfinals.

Dani Speegle

Five-time Games athlete Dani Speegle is another Games veteran who has found a way to qualify five of the last six years but who doesn’t look like (at least on paper) she will excel under this season’s format.

The Big Picture

The 2025 CrossFit Games season is undoubtedly like no other season we have navigated before. 

On the one hand, it’s going to be [arguably] harder than any other year to qualify, as there are only 30 spots available.

On the other hand, with both In-Affiliate Semifinals and 10 In-Person Qualifying Events, plus a Last Chance Qualifier, there are ample opportunities for the best in the world to prove that they belong to compete with the best in Albany. 

But to do that, they either need to crush an online competition or find a way to finish top two at an in-person event against what will most certainly be a highly competitive field.

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Featured Image: Scott Freymond

The post Which CrossFit Games Vets Will Thrive in 2025 Season Structure—and Who Won’t?  appeared first on BarBend.

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